Iran has ordered its armed forces to be prepared for war while also avoiding it, as they are preparing for a possible retaliatory attack from Israel. The supreme leader of the country has requested multiple military plans to respond to potential Israeli attacks. However, a total war between Iran and Israel is considered to have devastating consequences for both the region and any prospects for a ceasefire in places like Gaza and Lebanon.
According to Iranian officials, the country has been strengthening alliances with Arab nations but has also warned of the consequences of aiding Israel in the event of an attack. Although a war with Israel is not currently seen as an existential threat, it is acknowledged that a prolonged conflict could be highly destructive and undermine the Iranian government’s plans to improve relations with the West and lift the economic sanctions imposed by the United States.
Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated, especially since events such as the terrorist attack carried out by Hamas against Israel last year. Additionally, exchanges of offensives between both countries have occurred in the recent past. Iran, in response to possible reprisals, has raised its military alert level and reinforced defenses at strategic facilities.
The possibility of an Iranian response to any Israeli attack has been mentioned, which would depend on the magnitude of the received aggression. It has been indicated that an Iranian retaliation could include the launch of ballistic missiles, attacks by militant groups in the region, and the disruption of maritime transport and global energy supplies.
Despite publicly stating that there is no desire for open war, Israeli attacks would represent a challenge for Iranian authorities who seek not to appear weak. The Iranian economy is also being affected by uncertainty, reflected in the decline of the rial and the rise in gold prices. In this context, Iran has sought to strengthen alliances with nations like Russia and China and send messages to avoid armed conflict.
In summary, Iran finds itself in a delicate situation, preparing for a possible Israeli attack while trying to avoid a military escalation that would have severe consequences for the region and the world. Although potential reprisals are mentioned, the public stance is to seek a solution that avoids the armed conflict so feared by the population.
